Sokichi Takagi

Sokichi Takagi Rear Admiral of the Imperial Japanese Navy, principally a staff officer and research analyst, whose studies, as early as February 1944, projected a poor outcome for Japan in World War Two in the Pacific.

Japanese analysis of war trends

He led a Naval General staff study group that raised misgivings about the outcome of the war in February 1944.

As Deputy Chief of the Naval Staff late in the war, his diary is quoted as a source of senior-level thought on the progress of the war. One excerpt has been used as evidence that the nuclear attacks on Japan were not the first issue on the mind of the peace faction. The entry for August 8, two days after the Hiroshima attack, he made notes on a talk with Navy Minister Mitsumasu Yonai. Yonai's first priority in the discussion was Prime Minister Kantaro Suzuki's failure to understand the domestic situation, particularly the danger of an uprising, probably Communist. Yonai and some others in the peace faction had been urging an end to the war because they greatly feared Communism. Takagi agreed with Yonai: “In my opinion, someone like the Interior Minister should have a straight talk with the Prime Minister about domestic conditions...I used to think that by September or October the domestic situation would rapidly deteriorate while you said it would start deteriorating in mid-August. Actually, the situation is getting steadily worse in many respects during these couple of days, especially after Hiroshima.” Note that Hiroshima is a qualifier to the main point, not a fundamental decision point.

Yonai agreed, and returned to a domestic economic issue. “Bad news continues and the ration of rice in Tokyo will be reduced by ten percent after [the] 11th of this month.”

Their discussion then turned to the next day's meeting of the Supreme Council for Direction of the War, who might be incluencing the Emperor, and concern about the lack of positive response from the Soviet Union.They go on to

Career

According to the U.S. Strategic Bombing Survey, events in his career were:

• 1893 -- Born, Kumamoto, Kyushu.
• 1915 -- Graduate, Naval Academy.
• 1928 -- Went to France to study.
• 1930 -- Assistant Adjutant and Chief Secretary to the Navy Minister.
• 1933 -- Instructor in Naval War College
• -- Commander.
• 1936 -- Member, Naval General Affairs Bureau, and research staff of same.
• 1937 -- Chief of research section, Naval General Affairs Bureau.
• -- Captain.
• 1939 -- Instructor of Naval Administration at the Naval War College.
• 1940 -- Once more Chief of research section of the Naval General Affairs Bureau; attached to the Ministerial Secretariat.
• Jun 1942 -- Chief of Staff, Maizuru Naval Station.
• 1943 -- Attached to Naval General Headquarters.
• -- Rear admiral.
• Mar 1944 -- Chief, Education Bureau, Navy Ministry.
• Sep 1944 -- Again attached to Navy General Headquarters.
• 15 Sep 1945 -- Retired.