Spending multiplier: Difference between revisions

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The spending multiplier is a key concept in [[Keynesian economics]] for it explains how the government purchases can have a strong stimulating effect on the national output, depending on the marginal propensity to consume.
The spending multiplier is a key concept in [[Keynesian economics]] for it explains how the government purchases can have a strong stimulating effect on the national output, depending on the marginal propensity to consume.
== Example in an closed economy ==
Consider a closed economy in which private agents consume in average 80% of their income. If the government increases its purchases by 100, then the national output will increase by 500.
<center>
{| class="wikitable" width="600"
|-
! Agent
! Consumption
! Saving
|-
| Government
| 100
| 0
|-
| colspan="3" | ''Through consumption, the government increases by 100 the income of one of its suppliers (agent #2).''
|-
| #2
| 80
| 20
|-
| colspan="3" | ''Agent #2 saves 20% of his new wealth and spends the remaining money, increasing by 80 the income of agent #3.''
|-
| #3
| 64
| 16
|-
| #4
| 51
| 13
|-
| #5
| 41
| 10
|-
| #6
| 33
| 8
|-
| #7
| 26
| 6
|-
| ...
| ...
| ...
|-
! Total
! 500
! 100
|}
</center>
In mathematics, this result is known as the sum of a convergent [[geometric serie]].
An other demonstration relies on the following accountant relation in a closed economy :
<center>
Income = Consumption + Investment<br>
Income = Private Consumption + Governmental Consumption + Saving - Taxes<br>
Y = C + G + I - T<br>
Since C = cY with c the propensity to consume, then<br>
Y = cY + G + I - T<br>
(1-c)Y = G + I - T<br>
Y = (G + S - T)/(1-c)<br>
Thus, an increase of G by 1 implies an increase of Y by 1/(1-c).
</center>
== Influence of imports in an open economy ==
<center>
{| class="wikitable" width="600"
|-
! Agent
! Consumption of domestic products
! Imports
! Saving
|-
| Government
| 100
| 0
| 0
|-
| colspan="4" | ''Through consumption, the government increases by 100 the income of one of its suppliers (agent #2).''
|-
| #2
| 60
| 20
| 20
|-
| colspan="4" | ''Agent #2 saves 20% of his new wealth and spends the remaining money. Because of imports, only three quarter of his purchases increase the income of another domestic agent. Thus agent #3 receives 60 instead of 80.''
|-
| #3
| 36
| 12
| 12
|-
| #4
| 21,6
| 7,2
| 7,2
|-
| #5
| 7,8
| 2,6
| 2,6
|-
| ...
| ...
| ...
| ...
|-
! Total
! 250
! 50
! 50
|}
</center>

Revision as of 16:11, 20 October 2012

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In economics, the spending multiplier effect describes a process by which an initial increase of one economic aggregate is amplified and provokes an increase in the same or/and other aggregate(s) larger than the initial raise. The idea is that the raise of a first agent income improves the situation of a second agent by the way of consumption, and so on.

The spending multiplier is a key concept in Keynesian economics for it explains how the government purchases can have a strong stimulating effect on the national output, depending on the marginal propensity to consume.