User:Nick Gardner /Sandbox: Difference between revisions
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A sovereign spread is supposed to compensate investors for the risk of default. One | |||
component of this compensation should be the expected loss from sovereign default. | |||
For investors who hold the sovereign bond to maturity, this loss is simply the product | |||
of the probability of default and the loss-given-default. For investors who plan to sell | |||
before maturity, the expected loss would also incorporate the prospect of a decline in | |||
credit quality short of default. Another component of the spread is attributable to the | |||
risk premium. Such a premium compensates investors for the fact that the realised loss from default may exceed the expected loss. Such a default risk is asymmetric | |||
because the possible losses from default are large relative to the possible gains from | |||
an absence of default. | |||
Hence, as a measure of credit risk, the probability of default enters the spread in two | |||
ways. First, it is part of expected loss in conjunction with the expected recovery rate. | |||
Second, it is part of the risk premium, the other part being the price of risk | |||
Revision as of 15:25, 22 February 2010
A sovereign spread is supposed to compensate investors for the risk of default. One component of this compensation should be the expected loss from sovereign default. For investors who hold the sovereign bond to maturity, this loss is simply the product of the probability of default and the loss-given-default. For investors who plan to sell before maturity, the expected loss would also incorporate the prospect of a decline in credit quality short of default. Another component of the spread is attributable to the risk premium. Such a premium compensates investors for the fact that the realised loss from default may exceed the expected loss. Such a default risk is asymmetric because the possible losses from default are large relative to the possible gains from an absence of default. Hence, as a measure of credit risk, the probability of default enters the spread in two ways. First, it is part of expected loss in conjunction with the expected recovery rate. Second, it is part of the risk premium, the other part being the price of risk
Links
See the economics index for an index to topics referred to in the economics articles.
See the glossary on the Related Articles subpage.
See the economics glossary for definitions not shown on this page
See also the economics index and the economics glossary.
See the finance glossary
See the banking glossary
Drafts
Abstracts
creates a Consumer Protection Agency and a Financial Stability Council; provides for for the dismantling large, failing financial institutions, and introduces new regulations for the regulation for mortgages, credit rating agencies, hedge funds and private equity companies and trading in derivatives.
Proposals for reform
Overview
As instructed by the London Summit, the Financial Stability Board issued a framework for strengthening adherence to international financial standards[1].
G20 summit proposals
The explanatory note on the subject following the London Summit included the following diagnosis:
While market participants were unable to understand the nature of the risks they were exposed to, the regulatory system allowed them to increase leverage dramatically in the run up to the crisis. The tendency of the financial sector to over-expand during up swings was exacerbated by a number of factors: over reliance on Credit Ratings Agencies (CRAs) assessments of the credit risk and potential CRA conflicts of interest, inadequate accounting standards and capital requirements that served to reinforce rather than dampen financial market over expansion, and remuneration policies that encouraged excessive leveraging and risk-taking.
The Volcker Rule
At a press conference on January 21st 2010, President Obama announced that
- "Banks will no longer be allowed to own, invest, or sponsor hedge funds, private equity funds, or proprietary trading operations for their own profit, unrelated to serving their customers. If financial firms want to trade for profit, that's something they're free to do. Indeed, doing so –- responsibly –- is a good thing for the markets and the economy. But these firms should not be allowed to run these hedge funds and private equities funds while running a bank backed by the American people. In addition, as part of our efforts to protect against future crises, I'm also proposing that we prevent the further consolidation of our financial system. There has long been a deposit cap in place to guard against too much risk being concentrated in a single bank. The same principle should apply to wider forms of funding employed by large financial institutions in today's economy."[2].